Thursday, October 23, 2008

GOP rates its prospects

GOP "Death List" Predicts Democratic Blowout in the House
Voter displeasure with the war and economy, coupled with Sen. Barack Obama's popularity, has the House GOP running for cover. Even though polls have shown that Americans don't like congressional Democrats any more, a new internal GOP tally of House races suggests a Democratic rout that could keep the Republicans in the minority for decades. A document provided to Washington Whispers from a House GOP official shows that they could lose a net 34 seats. That means the Democrats would have a 270-165 advantage in the 111th Congress. In the Senate, Republicans expect to lose also but to keep up to 44 seats, ensuring their ability to stage a filibuster.
So sad, let me get my hankie. I must say that even though their picture of the House is appropriately horrific, the might be understating the picture in the Senate. Though nice to know they're worried about the important stuff: filibustering all legislation. If those GOP projections hold up, that means they only lose 5 seats in the Senate. But if current polls are to be believed they are behind in 8. Warner in Va and Udall in NM will win in walks, it should also be easy for Shaheen in New Hampshire and the other Udall in Colorado. Begich in AK, Hagan in NC, and Merkley in OR all should win, and Franken in MN is close but should result in a win as well.

That doesn't even take into account the fact that Mitch McConnell in KY, Saxby Chambliss in GA, and Wicker in MS are all only up 1-3 points. Right now Five Thirty Eight is putting the tally at around 59 seats for the Democrats including Sanders and Lieberman, but judging Chambliss, McConnell and Wicker safe for now. But if it's a landslide election, or shit, just has increased Democratic turnout and depressed Republican turnout, then the bloodletting starts and Democrats start moving into solidly unassailable unfilibusterable majorities. Then the liberal freaks take over. But lets not count our socialist chickens before they hatch. Just remember, if turnout is big, November 4th might just be funnier than you thought. Concession speeches by McCain and Mitch McConnell? Bill O'Reilly's head exploding at the prospect of Senator Al Franken? So remember to get your ass out and vote, for comedy's sake.

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